NEW WAY OF THINKING THE CARGO

NEW WAY OF THINKING THE CARGO

OUTLINES
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Demand in a long term view The current solutions The new proposal Comparaison of transport modes (in the state of the art) Major technological breakthrough (barriers and goals) Cross-sectoral solutions (embryos of economic sector) Factor external to the sector (challenges) Finance and Time

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NEW WAY OF THINKING THE CARGO

DEMAND IN A LONG TERM VIEW
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Percentage of GDP growth in the world 2000 – 2020 1
12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2000-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020 India China Emerging Market and Developing Economies World Advanced Economies

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Projected road and rail freight transport activity by mode to 2050 2
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Medium Duty trucks Heavy Duty Trucks Freight Rail

Sources : 1 - Second edition of the Conference Board Global Economic Outlook - november 2010 2 - Global forum on transport and environment in a globalising world / OCDE – Mexico, November 2008

NEW WAY OF THINKING THE CARGO

DEMAND IN A LONG TERM VIEW
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The tonage of freight in 2050 may be : About 10,000 Mt in the world 1 According to the freight traffic in the world, ASIA represents over 36 % 3 ...
TRADE FLOW in the world (Values) 3
3

2

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14%

12% 2%
Intra-Asia

9%

8% 2%

Asia - North America Asia - Europe Asia - Middle East Intra-Europe Europe - Nort h America CIS - Europe Africa - Europe Intra-North America Central/Sout h America - North America Other

8%

3% 6%

4%

31%

Sources :1 – Etude prospective DGP en Ile de France / Ernst & Young – Juin 2008 2 – Freight traffic in the world / WTO – 2004 3 – Global forum on trasport and environment in a globalising world / OCDE Mexico, November 2008

NEW WAY OF THINKING THE CARGO

THE CURRENT PROPOSITIONS
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Mode of transportation depends on the goods transported 1
Sectoral structure of merchandise exports by region, 2006 Africa