effets de serre
2002 Académie des sciences / Éditions scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS. Tous droits réservés
S1631-0713(02)01728-5/FLA
Géophysique externe, climat et environnement / External Geophysics, Climate and Environment
(Climat / Climate)
Simulation des changements climatiques au cours du
XXIe siècle incluant l’ozone stratosphérique
Jean-François Royera,∗ , Daniel Cariollea , Fabrice Chauvina , Michel Déquéa , Hervé Douvillea,
Rong-Ming Hua , Serge Plantona , Annie Rascola , Jean-Louis Ricarda , David Salas Y Meliaa,
Florence Sevaulta, Pascal Simona, Samuel Somota , Sophie Tytecaa , Laurent Terrayb , Sophie Valckeb a CNRM/GMGEC, Météo-France, 42, av. Gaspard-Coriolis, 31057 Toulouse cedex 1, France b CERFACS, 42, av. Gaspard-Coriolis, 31057 Toulouse cedex 1, France
Reçu le 9 août 2001 ; accepté le 26 novembre 2001
Présenté par Jean-Claude André
Abstract – Simulation of climate changes during the 21st century including stratospheric ozone. Two climate simulations of 150 years, performed with a coupled ocean/sea-ice/atmosphere model including stratospheric ozone, respectively with and without heterogeneous chemistry, simulate the tropospheric warming associated with an increase of the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide and other trace gases since 1950 and their impact on sea–ice extent, as well as the stratospheric cooling and its impact on ozone concentration. The scenario with heterogeneous chemistry reproduces the formation of the ozone hole over the South Pole from the 1970s and its deepening until the present time, and shows that the ozone hole should progressively fill during the coming decades. To cite this article: J.-F. Royer et al., C. R. Geoscience 334
(2002) 147–154. 2002 Académie des sciences / Éditions scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS climate change / greenhouse effect / coupled model / stratosphere / ozone
Résumé – Deux scénarios climatiques de 150 ans, réalisés avec un modèle