Exposé Unemployment

compris les emprunteurs avec un historique de crédit positif et un risque de défaut perçu comme faible. Mais cette politique de taux d’intérêt élevés ne pourra pas protéger les banques contre les défauts de paiement, et risque au contraire de les exposer davantage en mettant à l’écart une population de firmes qui dispose, elle, d’un bon crédit. De plus, cette asymétrie de l’information se traduit parfois par une opacité des firmes dans l’utilisation du crédit bancaire qu’elles ont contracté. Ce qui

Inference in Econometrics, Oxford University Press, New York, 1993. [DOO 1997] J.A. Doornik, et D.F. Hendry, Modelling Dynamic Systems Using PCFIML 9.0, Thomson, 1997. [DOR 1997] É. Dor, B. Vander Linden, M. Lopez Novella, Labour Market Policies and Unemployment Outflows, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1997. [ENG 1991] R.F. Engle, C.W.J. Granger, Long-Run Economic Relationships : Readings in Cointegration, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1991. [ENG 1987] R.F. Engle, C.W.J. Granger, Co-integration

phenomena by taking a psychological perspective. We could instead, for example, adopt an economic perspective, attributing significant political events to economic forces, which are typically more easily observable via purchase behavior, interest rates, unemployment rates, and the like (e.g., Alt and Chrystal 1983). But instead, we place our emphasis on unobservable psychological processes unfolding in the minds of political actors. Thus, the modifier structure of “psychological political science,” though more

of each factor has also been subject to change over time within Rwandan historiography (see Newbury and Newbury, 2000). Many studies have elaborated extensively on ethnic cleavages, focusing on the strong animosity between Hutu and Tutsi, and often expose very divergent and contradictory theories on the origins of ethnic differentiation (for an overview, see De Lame, 2005; Newbury and Newbury, 2000; Vansina, 2001). It is clear, however, that the HutuTutsi rift evolved over time from a flexible social