Probability

soit invisible, dans l’extrait précédent il y dit: « Yet, if any other luminous bodies should happen to revolve about them we might still perhaps from the motions of these revolving bodies infer the existence the central ones with some degree of probability ». Cela signifie : « Si il arrivait que quelque autre corps lumineux tourne autour d’eux, des mouvements de ces corps tournants, nous pourrions peut-être encore déduire l’existence du corps central avec quelque degré de probabilité… » Bien

The experiments were set up in a randomized design. Data were analyzed by analysis of variance (ANOVA) to detect significant differences between means. Means differing significantly were compared using Duncan’s multiple range test (DMRT) at a 5% probability level. Variability of data has also been expressed as the mean ± standard error (SE). Results and discussion One week after the in vitro cultivation start, 100% axillary budding was obtained for the two accessions of Jatropha curcas on the MS

earth can be related to determinable periods, is even more true of institutions, beliefs and customs, whose past history is generally a closed book to us. The idea of biological evolution is a hypothesis with one of the highest coefficients of probability to be found in any of the natural sciences, whilst the concept of social or cultural evolution offers at best a tempting, but suspiciously convenient We method of presenting facts. Incidentally, this difference, which is too

Operational risk is emerging as the third leg of an enterprise-wide risk strategy for financial institutions. Several preliminary ideas have emerged, including actuarial-based methods, categorization of risk factors, and qualitative or subjective probability approaches. To date a well founded, clear and effective method of measuring and modeling operational risk is not available. A fundamental problem is the lack of consensus on its definition. This paper develops a definition for operational risk by

gouvernant et gouverné. Sous cette forme, rotation rapide des charges publiques et sélection aléatoire permettaient un autogouvernement difficilement concevable à l’échelle nationale dans les 7 Gerd Gigerenzer et alii, The Empire of Chance. How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1989 ; Ian Hacking, The Taming of Chance, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1990 ; Alain Desrosières, La Politique des grands nombres. Histoire de la raison statistique

gaussian log returns but which can has a closed-form solution (i.e. reduces to deterministic numeric integration as opposed to Monte Carlo). This model assumes that the underlying obeys the following distribution, d(log where dΩ = P (Ω)(1−q)/2 dW. The probability function P (Ω, t) is given by, P (Ω, t) = 1 (1 − β(t)(1 − q)(Ω(t) − Ω(0)))1/(1−q) , Z(t) (5) (4) S(t) 1−α ) = µdt + σSo S α dΩ, So (3) where β(t) and Z(t) are constants chosen such that Pq (Ω(t)) = δ(Ω(t) − Ω(0)). (6) The form of P (Ω, t)

problem in choosing its loan portfolio. For simplicity, we assume that the bank may choose between two assets: the prudent asset, yielding a return yielding a return of expected return ( α α ; and the gambling asset, γ with probability θ and β with probability 1− θ . The prudential asset has higher > θγ + (1 − θ )β ), but if the gamble succeeds the bank earns higher private return k which is expressed as a ( γ > α ). The bank invests both the deposits it mobilizes and its own

Analyse de stratégies d’investissement systématiques, basées sur le croisement de moyennes mobiles Travail de Bachelor réalisé en vue de l’obtention du Bachelor HES par : Alexandre MARTINS FIGUEIRA Conseiller au travail de Bachelor : Monsieur Julien RIBON, professeur HES Genève, le 16 juillet 2020 Haute École de Gestion de Genève (HEG-GE) Filière Economie d’entreprise Analyse de stratégies d’investissement systématiques, basées sur le croisement de moyennes mobiles MARTINS FIGUEIRA,

paramétrés - Preuves de convergence probabiliste et déterministe. PhD thesis, ENS de Cachan - Laboratoire de Spécification et Vérification, 2003. K.D. Glazebrook and S. Greatrix. On transforming an index for generalized bandit problems. Journal of Applied Probability, 32:168–182, 1995. Amos Israeli and Marc Jalfon. Token management schemes and random walks yield self stabilizing mutual exclusion. In Proc. 9th Annual ACM Symposium on Principles of Distributed Computing, pages 119–131, Quebec City, Canada, 1990

geriatric assessment, with as large inclusion criteria as possible (PS= 70 (median age: 76) with stage 3 or 4 ovarian carcinoma received 6 courses of a 3-weekly carboplatin – cyclophosphamide (CC) combination. Chemotherapy feasibility, defined as the probability of receiving 6 courses without treatment premature arrest due to severe toxicity, tumour progression, death or patient’s or investigator’s decision was 72%. No toxic death occurred and the observed toxicities were generally manageable (29). Three